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Bullish Chart Patterns for Australian Traders

Seven bullish patterns dominate the major AUD pairs: ascending triangle, double bottom, cup and handle, falling wedge, bull flag, inverse head and shoulders and three white soldiers. They signal rising prices ahead, either reversing a downtrend or continuing an uptrend. I would read all seven most clearly on 1-hour and 4-hour charts, where each defines an entry, stop and measured target rather than a prediction.

Justin Grossbard, Co-Founder of CompareForexBrokers Written by Justin Grossbard (RG146) Fact-checked by David Levy Last updated:

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The top bullish patterns at a glance

  • Ascending triangle, flat resistance, rising lows. Continuation in an uptrend.
  • Double bottom, twin lows with a peak between. Reversal at the end of a downtrend.
  • Cup and handle, rounded base, small pullback, breakout. Continuation pattern.
  • Falling wedge, converging lines tilting down. Reversal in a downtrend.
  • Bull flag, sharp rally, tight pullback, breakout. Continuation pattern.
  • Inverse head and shoulders, three troughs, the middle deepest. Reversal at a downtrend bottom.
  • Three white soldiers, three consecutive long bullish candles. Reversal signal.

All seven work on the major AUD pairs and most clearly on the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. That timeframe bias is the one I would keep before studying any single pattern. For the broader context, see the chart patterns pillar.

The seven bullish patterns in detail

Ascending triangle

Price prints a flat line of resistance across multiple touches at the top while making higher lows underneath. The two lines converge on the right edge of the pattern. That contest reads as buyers bidding aggressively while sellers defend one specific level, and the breakout above resistance is the resolution I would wait for.

An ascending triangle with flat resistance across the highs and rising lows beneath, marked with entry on the close above resistance, stop below the last higher low and a target one triangle height above
Buyers bid into one fixed level until it gives way.

The diagram gives you the flat resistance line, the rising lows underneath it, and where the entry, stop and measured target sit once resistance breaks.

Long entries are taken on the close of a candle above the flat resistance line. Some traders wait for a retest of the broken resistance before entering. I prefer the retest entry for the better risk-to-reward, but it does skip the fastest moves.

Measure the height of the triangle, from the first higher low to the resistance line, and project that distance up from the breakout point. On AUD/USD, a 60-pip triangle gives you a 60-pip target.

Trading the pattern against the higher-timeframe trend is the mistake I would flag first. Ascending triangles are continuation patterns, so they work best when the daily or weekly chart is already pointing up. Counter-trend ascending triangles fail more often.

Double bottom

Price falls to a low, bounces, falls back to roughly the same low, and bounces again. The two lows give you a “W” shape with a peak between them (the neckline). Volume usually drops on the second low, signalling exhausted selling.

A double bottom forming a W shape with two lows at a similar level and a neckline across the peak between them, marked with entry on the neckline break, stop below the lows and target one pattern height above
The W shape, with the neckline that turns it into a trade.

The diagram gives you the two lows, the neckline drawn across the peak between them, and the entry, stop and target measured from the low to the neckline and projected up.

A long entry is taken on a close above the neckline. The neckline is the high point between the two lows. Trading the second touch of the bottom, before neckline confirmation, is aggressive and prone to fakeouts.

Measure from the lowest low to the neckline and project that distance up from the neckline break. A 100-pip W on EUR/USD gives you a 100-pip target above the neckline.

Confusing a double bottom with a basing range is where I would draw the line. A real double bottom has a clear bounce between the two lows. Sideways chop is not the same pattern.

Cup and handle

Price prints a rounded U-shape, the cup, recovers to the prior high, then dips slightly into a tight pullback, the handle. The handle is shallow, usually retracing 30 to 50% of the cup’s right side. The pattern resolves with a breakout above the cup’s rim.

A cup and handle showing a rounded base, a recovery to the rim, and a shallow handle pullback, marked with entry above the rim, stop below the handle low and target one cup depth above
The handle has to stay shallow. Anything deeper than half the cup is a different pattern.

The diagram gives you the rounded cup, the rim line across its two highs, the shallow handle, and where the entry, stop and cup-depth target fall.

A long entry is taken on the close above the rim, the level of the cup’s two highs. Breakouts on rising volume have a markedly higher follow-through rate.

Measure the depth of the cup and project that distance up from the rim breakout. A 200-pip cup gives you a 200-pip target.

Calling shallow pullbacks “handles” too quickly is the mistake I would avoid. A real handle takes time to form (often days on a 4-hour chart) and stays well above the bottom of the cup. Anything that retraces more than half the cup is not a handle.

Falling wedge

Price prints a series of lower highs and lower lows, with the highs falling faster than the lows. The two trendlines converge downward. Volume usually fades through the wedge as selling pressure exhausts, which is what you want to see.

A falling wedge with two converging downward trendlines, marked with entry on the close above the upper line, stop below the last low and target one wedge height above
Both lines fall, but the highs fall faster, which is what compresses the range.

The diagram gives you the two converging trendlines, plus the entry, stop and wedge-height target that follow the break above the upper line.

A long entry is taken on a close above the upper trendline. The breakout is often sharp because the wedge represents a compression that releases when broken.

Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point and project that distance up from the breakout. Many traders also use the prior swing high as a secondary target, but I would keep the measured height as the primary target.

Trading falling wedges that haven’t fully formed is a mistake I would wait out. A wedge needs at least two clean touches on each side before it’s tradeable. Three or more touches per side is stronger.

Bull flag

Price rallies sharply, the flagpole, then pulls back in a tight, slightly downward-sloping channel, the flag. The pullback is shallow, usually retracing less than 50% of the flagpole. The pattern is expected to resolve with a continuation higher.

Bull pennant chart pattern with entry, stop and target levels marked
Bull pennant: flagpole, coil, continuation

What the bull pennant does is compress a sharp rise into a brief symmetrical coil rather than the parallel channel a flag draws. The diagram marks the flagpole, the coil and the levels. Formation: a steep rally, then converging trendlines forming a small triangle that drifts sideways rather than sloping against the move. Confirmation: a close above the coil’s upper trendline. Invalidation: a close below the coil’s low, or a coil that takes longer to form than the flagpole took to run. Sizing: risking 1% of an AUD 10,000 account with a 30-pip stop on AUD/USD, where a mini lot is roughly AUD 1.50 a pip, puts the position near 2.2 mini lots for AUD 100 of risk.

A bull flag showing a steep flagpole rally followed by a tight downward-sloping flag channel, marked with entry above the flag, stop below the flag low and target one flagpole length above
The flag should take a fraction of the time the flagpole took.

The diagram gives you the flagpole, the tight pullback channel that forms the flag, and the entry, stop and target measured as the flagpole length projected from the break.

You enter long on a close above the upper trendline of the flag. Aggressive traders enter on the first higher low inside the flag.

Measure the length of the flagpole and project it up from the breakout. Flag patterns give you some of the cleanest targets in pattern trading because the geometry is simple.

Trading flags that lasted too long is the trap I would dodge. A real bull flag forms over a small fraction of the time the flagpole took. If the pullback drags on for longer than the rally, you’ve got a different pattern.

Inverse head and shoulders

Three troughs mark a downtrend bottom. The middle trough (the head) is the lowest. The two outer troughs (the shoulders) are at similar but not identical depths. A neckline runs across the two peaks between the troughs.

An inverse head and shoulders with three troughs, the middle one deepest, and a neckline across the two peaks between them, marked with entry on the neckline break, stop below the right shoulder and target one head-to-neckline distance above
The middle trough is the head. The two outer troughs rarely match exactly, and do not need to.

The diagram gives you the left shoulder, the deeper head, the right shoulder and the neckline, with the target measured from the head to the neckline and projected above the break.

A long entry is taken on a close above the neckline. Volume confirmation on the breakout improves the strike rate. I would rank this pattern among the most reliable reversal setups in classical technical analysis.

Measure from the head’s low to the neckline and project that distance up from the breakout point. A 150-pip head depth gives you a 150-pip target.

Forcing asymmetric “shoulders” that aren’t really shoulders is the mistake to avoid. The two outer troughs should be visibly similar in depth and timing. Wildly uneven shoulders weaken the pattern.

Three white soldiers

Three consecutive long bullish candles, each closing higher than the prior, each opening within the prior candle’s body. The three candles signal a rapid shift in sentiment, usually after a downtrend or consolidation.

A long entry is taken on the close of the third candle, or on a small pullback to the close of candle two. Three white soldiers is a candlestick pattern rather than a chart pattern in the geometric sense, but it carries similar weight when it appears at a meaningful structural level.

It is less precise than geometric patterns. Use the prior swing high or a measured-move equal to the height of the three candles combined.

Trading three white soldiers that follow an exhausted move higher is the setup to avoid. The pattern works as a reversal at a low. After an extended rally, three more bullish candles often signal exhaustion rather than continuation.

How to confirm a bullish pattern

A clean shape isn’t enough on its own. Three confirmation tools sharpen the signal.

Volume. Bullish breakouts on rising volume have a much higher follow-through rate than breakouts on quiet volume. Forex doesn’t have centralised exchange volume, but tick volume from your broker’s MT4, MT5 or cTrader feed is a usable proxy. Pepperstone, IC Markets and FP Markets all expose tick volume natively, and each features in our top Australian forex brokers guide, which our team keeps current.

RSI. A bullish pattern that prints with the 14-period RSI rising out of oversold territory (below 30) has a stronger directional case than one that prints with RSI already overbought. A classic confirmation for double bottoms and inverse head and shoulders appears when RSI diverges: price makes a lower low while RSI makes a higher low.

MACD divergence. The same logic applies. A bullish pattern at a downtrend bottom that prints with MACD histogram bars getting smaller (bullish divergence against price) carries more weight. The MACD signal-line cross above the zero line near the breakout adds another confirmation layer.

Not all three are required. One or two confirming signals beyond the pattern itself is usually enough. I would not stack too many filters, or you’ll never take a trade.

Risk management for bullish patterns

Stop placement

The stop on every bullish pattern goes below the pattern’s lowest point.

  • Ascending triangle / bull flag, below the lowest higher low inside the pattern.
  • Double bottom, below the lowest of the two bottoms, with a few pips of buffer for spread and noise.
  • Cup and handle, below the low of the handle.
  • Falling wedge, below the lower trendline of the wedge.
  • Inverse head and shoulders, below the head’s low.

Never place a stop based purely on a fixed pip distance that ignores the pattern. The pattern defines invalidation. If the pattern’s structure is broken, the trade thesis is broken, and I want the stop to reflect that.

Position sizing under the ASIC cap

ASIC’s Product Intervention Order caps Australian retail traders at 30:1 leverage on major forex pairs. The rule has been in force since 29 March 2021 and now runs through to 23 May 2027. On AUD/USD, that means each AUD 1 of margin controls AUD 30 of position. The caps on gold, indices, shares and crypto sit in our ASIC regulation guide. AFCA membership is also mandatory for ASIC brokers, giving you a free dispute-resolution path if anything goes wrong.

A worked example: you hold an AUD 5,000 account, risk 1% per trade (AUD 50), and take a bullish pattern on AUD/USD with a 50-pip stop below the pattern low.

  • Risk per trade: AUD 50
  • Stop distance: 50 pips
  • Position size: AUD 50 / 50 pips = AUD 1 per pip = 0.1 standard lot (10,000 units)
  • Margin required at maximum leverage: AUD 333 (well within account)
  • Reward target at 2:1 RR: 100 pips = AUD 100 if the pattern resolves to target

Sizing this way keeps any single failed pattern at 1% of account, and that means you can survive a long string of losses without account damage. You can also size up cleanly when patterns line up with the higher-timeframe trend.

ASIC also mandates negative balance protection and margin close-out at 50% of initial margin. You can’t lose more than your deposit on a runaway move, but I would not test that. Risk management starts with the stop, not the safety net.

You can run that same arithmetic through our position size calculator for any balance, risk percentage and stop distance.

The mirror-image reversals sit in our bearish chart patterns for Australian traders guide. Trading these setups from an annotated chart means checking our guide to the best TradingView brokers in Australia for which AU brokers route orders from TradingView. The wider picture starts at our forex education hub.

FAQs

What's the most reliable bullish pattern in forex?
Inverse head and shoulders has one of the strongest published track records on higher timeframes. Bull flags are the most reliable continuation pattern. You want both to print in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend.
Can bullish patterns work on the 5-minute chart?
Yes, though signal quality drops on lower timeframes because more noise pollutes the structure. Most professional pattern traders use the 1-hour and 4-hour charts as a baseline. For Australian session trading, the 4-hour AUD/USD chart gives you a sensible start.
Do I need volume to confirm a bullish breakout?
No, you don't need volume to take the trade, though volume confirmation improves the win rate. Brokers that surface tick volume in MT4 or cTrader (Pepperstone, IC Markets, FP Markets, Eightcap, Fusion Markets) make it easy. Otherwise lean on RSI and MACD.
What happens if I trade a bullish pattern against the trend?
Strike rates fall. You can take counter-trend patterns as reversals, but only with clear evidence the higher-timeframe trend is exhausting (RSI divergence, key support, a fundamental shift). Going long inside a strong daily downtrend is low-probability.

About the author

Justin Grossbard headshot

Justin Grossbard

Justin co-founded CompareForexBrokers in 2014 and has traded forex since 1998. Based in Melbourne, he has tested every ASIC-regulated broker on this site personally and has written for Forbes, Kiplinger, Finance Magnates, the Australian Financial Review and The Age. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce (Honours) and a Master of Marketing from Monash University. Justin is the co-founder and CEO of CompareForexBrokers.

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